Calculator
Path of Exile drop rate calculator
Your chance of Tukohama's Jade Unique Finisher Effect from the Curse of the Allflame Mystery Box in any number of pulls at Path of Exile's disclosed 0.1724% rate. Pick any other disclosed rate below, then see what Points cost in £.
Chance of at least one drop in 402 pulls
50%
- Average pulls to get it
- 580
- Pulls for an even chance
- 402
- Pulls for a 90% chance
- 1335
- Pulls for a 99% chance
- 2669
Pulls along the bottom. The dot is your planned number of pulls.
How it works
Each pull is treated as independent, with the same chance every time. The chance of at least one drop in n pulls is 1 − (1 − p)n. With a guarantee on pull N, the chance is 100% from pull N, and the average number of pulls falls to (1 − (1 − p)N) ÷ p.
Some games also raise the rate a little in the pulls before the guarantee (soft pity). That isn't modelled here, so for those games the real average is a little lower than shown.
How pity works explains the maths in more detail.
What Points cost
Cheapest way to get 50 Points
US$5
1 × 50 pack
- You get
- 50
- Points
- Per 100 here
- US$10
- Best pack per 100
- US$10
- the 50 pack
| Pack | Price | Per 100 | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Points (pathofexile.com) · best value | US$5 | US$10 | pathofexile.com Checked 3 Oct 2026 |
| 100 Points (pathofexile.com) | US$10 | US$10 | pathofexile.com Checked 3 Oct 2026 |
We count the amount in each pack's name. Some stores add extra Points on a first purchase or during an event; those aren't counted, so you may get a little more.
Where these numbers come from
Rates are exactly as the publisher discloses them, with the source and the date we checked each one on the Path of Exile page. We don't estimate rates a publisher hasn't published. Every rate publishers have disclosed, game by game, is in our Drop-rate index.
Game dataPath of Exile8 disclosed rates · 6 prices · 18,098 players