Path of Exile drop rates

Grinding Gear Games lists the chance of every item in its current Path of Exile Mystery Box on the box's own page. The Curse of the Allflame box holds 56 variations of 29 items; the table shows the rarest seven and one of the most common for comparison.

What the rates mean in practice

The rarest results, the Tukohama's Jade Unique Finisher Effect and the Astrolabe Stash Skin, each have a 0.1724% chance per box. On the published rate alone that is one in 580 boxes for a particular one of them: 50 boxes give about an 8.3% chance of a specific item and 100 boxes about 15.8%. There is no guarantee for any single item.

Two rules on the page change those odds as you open more. GGG says you will never receive a duplicate of a variation you have already opened, so each item you collect removes itself from later boxes and slightly raises the chance of the rest. It also says every box gives an item worth at least the 50 points you paid. The page doesn't say how the remaining odds are rescaled, so we only quote the published starting rates. As read on 3 October, the published variation rates add up to about 100.05%, which we take to be rounding on GGG's side.

How it plays

Path of Exile is a free-to-play online action role-playing game set in Wraeclast, a dark fantasy continent. You play an Exile, choosing from seven classes: Duelist, Witch, Ranger, Templar, Marauder, Shadow or Scion. The game is viewed from above, with a focus on fast action combat, powerful items and deep character building.

Skills come from tradable gems that you combine with support and trigger gems, and every class shares one huge Passive Skill Tree, starting from a different point on it. Items drive the game: there is no gold, and trade runs on orbs that change the properties of other items. After the story, the endgame is the Atlas of Worlds, more than a hundred high-level maps with their own skill tree.

Optional missions, a customisable Hideout and a harder Ruthless mode add to this. Grinding Gear Games says all paid items are purely cosmetic and the game will never be pay-to-win.

What it costs

A box costs 50 Points, or 250 Points for five. GGG's own shop sells Points in US dollars ($5 for 50). In pounds, Steam UK's supporter packs come with Points at the same rate across the range: 300 Points in the £23.93 Plague Supporter Pack, which works out at about 8p a point, or about £3.99 a box (£19.94 for the five-box bundle). The supporter packs also contain cosmetics, so that's an upper bound on what the Points alone cost.

Players

The 30-day peak on Steam Charts was 18,098 concurrent players on 3 October 2026. Many players use GGG's own launcher or consoles, which Steam doesn't count.

How we checked

Odds come from GGG's Mystery Box page, read in full on 3 October 2026; GGG announced the box on its forum on 24 July 2026. USD prices are from pathofexile.com/purchase and GBP prices from Steam UK on the same day. The gameplay description is based on the publisher's Steam store page.

Card art and page images: screenshots from Grinding Gear Games Limited's Path of Exile Steam store page. © Grinding Gear Games Limited. All trademarks belong to their owners. GamesChart is not endorsed by or affiliated with Grinding Gear Games Limited.